Favorites, Long Shots and Value Pick for the 2018 NFL Season

The NFL’s off-season is a long one but it is never uneventful. We’ve had another great draft. Mini-camps and rookie camps. Some hirings and some firings. A few arrests. You know, the usual. But even though the season is months away it is important to consider the big question. Who’s going to win the Super Bowl. It’s never too early to ask this question just as it’s never too early to lay a Super Bowl bet. So, let’s have a look, shall we? Who are the favorites? Who are the longshots? Where is the real value? Just remember, the earlier you get that bet in, the more it pays. (FYI, if you wanna be really weird there is a bet available right now at most sportsbooks where you can pick either the NFC or AFC to win the Super Bowl at -110 with O/U of 52…)

Favorites

New England Patriots +600 – That is pretty good value for the perennial favorite. I know it’s only May but let’s face it, the Pats get bet down. Fast. And deservedly so. This team (no matter how annoying you find them and/or their fans) is good. They win a ton of games and cover huge spreads. Of course, they’re at the top of the list. However, last year’s loss and Tom Brady’s age may be enough to convince people to steer clear of a big Super Bowl Futures bet. There is better value to consider…

Philadelphia Eagles +800 –  The Super Bowl champs are actually better than they were last year on paper. Getting Carson Wentz back is a big lift because he was the best quarterback in the league last year until a knee injury ended his season. That’s not to say that Nick Foles didn’t play well because, uh, obviously he did. But this is on paper we are talking about. Repeating as a Super Bowl champ is tough these days and hasn’t been done in 14 years. It will be interesting to see how Philly responds with the target on their back but make no mistake, this is a good team. And they’ll be as hungry as they were last year.

Pittsburgh Steelers +1000 – Definitely some good value here as if there is one thing you can expect it’s for the Steelers to field a good team. But the Steelers are also underachievers. With all the talk of their high-powered offense the last few years you’d think they would’ve made a few decent runs at a Super Bowl. They haven’t. Ben Roethlisberger is another aging wonder and although he still wins games and puts up huge numbers, you have to wonder how much he has left in the tank. The Steelers winning 13 games won’t be a surprise. The Steelers making it out of the AFC Championship game would be.

The Long Shots

Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins, New York Jets +10000 – When your team has the same odds to win the Super Bowl as the Cleveland Browns do you know it’s going to be a long season. They’re the long shots for a reason though. These are the rebuilders. Or maybe just the builders because it has been so long since they had a winning season. Stay away from these guys. Long shots win horse races not Super Bowls…

The Value

Los Angeles Rams +1000 – The Rams put together a good team last year and surprised many people. The play of quarterback Jared Goff and running back Todd Gurley are still young but they are football players for sure. They added a bunch of veterans in the off-season on the defensive side of the ball as well. They will still be off most people’s radar though and it will be interesting to see if they can continue last year’s success. This is good value though for a good team.

Atlanta Falcons +2500 – The Falcons have been all over the map the past few years. Sometimes they blow huge leads in Super Bowls. Other times they miss the playoffs or exit too early. Despite their shortcomings they are a good football team and they should rack up some wins this year. Will they put it together enough to take the whole thing? It’s hard to say. But +2500 is a good payout for this good of a team if you want to find out.

New York Giants +7500 – Close to a long shot, sure, but let’s not forget that the G-Men were a good team on paper last year. Then the season started… The Giants had many problems but could get much better real fast. Eli Manning is old but he’s still won some big games in his life. The best thing they did was add the best player in the draft in Saquon Barkley. One running back does not a Super Bowl contender make, however, they have enough talent to jump back into contention. If there is one long shot to lay down on, it’s probably the Giants.

Rodney K
Rodney is a true sports junkie with a passion for baseball, basketball, football, and hockey. If you want a statistic, just ask Rodney! If you want to know a score from last night’s game, just ask Rodney.
Rodney K
Rodney K
Rodney is a true sports junkie with a passion for baseball, basketball, football, and hockey. If you want a statistic, just ask Rodney! If you want to know a score from last night’s game, just ask Rodney.

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