The Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics play a winner take all Game 7 Saturday night.
It all comes down to one game. In a series where the home team has won every game, it is natural to assume that the Boston Celtics would be a lock to win game 7 on Saturday when the Milwaukee Bucks travel to the TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics. However, when it is winner take all, you often can look to the superstars as they are the ones that determine the outcomes. That is what Giannis Antetokounmpo, who will be the biggest superstar on the floor Saturday, and the Bucks are looking for. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm ET.
The spread for this game comes in at the Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 and the Boston Celtics at -4.5. The over/under for the game is set at 195.5.
In Thursday’s game 5, Giannis Antetokounmpo played like an absolute superstar. He scored 31 points on 56.5% (13 for 23) shooting. He also added 14 rebounds and 4 assists. If the Bucks have any chance of moving onto the next round, they are going to need him to repeat this type of performance. Nothing is going to come easy, though, as the Celtics have played significantly better at home. In a single game, though, one superstar can take over a game and Antetokounmpo, just like in game 6, will look to give this type of superstar performance. For the series, he has averaged 26.3 points, 9.7 rebounds and 6.5 assists.
To help Giannis, the Bucks have some supporting players who are capable of having their own big games. Khris Middleton has also been huge this series, averaging 23.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists. Eric Bledsoe (12 points per game) and Jabari Parker (10.2 points, 6.2 rebounds) are also capable of having major impacts. It will be a challenge to win on the road, but the Bucks certainly have the players and style of play to do it.
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For the Boston Celtics, their offense has struggled to find consistency. In three of their games, the Celtics have scored 102 or more points. In the other three, they scored 92 or fewer. Regardless of whether you blame it on turnovers (they have averaged over 11 per game this series) or poor decision-making, they have to be better if they want to make it deep into the playoffs.
Quite frankly, between the losses of Kyrie Irving and Gordon Heyward, not too many people anticipated them having much postseason success. Now, they are just one win away from moving onto the second round. In order to win, tthough, hey will need good games from a complement of stars. Jaylen Brown has played well all series, averaging 20.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Al Horford has also played well, especially in game 5 when he was moved to center, averaging 16.8 points and 8.8 rebounds.
The Celtics have also gotten good play from Marcus Morris (13.8 points, 5 rebounds), Terry Rozier (16.2 points, 6.3 assists) and Jayson Tatum (14.7 points, 5.2 rebounds). While they have had quite a diversification in scoring, the big question for them is who is going to take over control of the game in the fourth quarter if the game is close. Generally, this is where you look to your superstars, and while Boston has a lot of solid players, this may be an area where the Bucks edge them out.
I know that no road team has won yet in this series. I know that Boston plays much better at home. What I also know, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton are the best duo that will be on the court Saturday night. I think that it is close, but in a game where I think the Bucks will win, it is a luxury to get +4.5 points on the spread. Take the Bucks.