What a huge game 5 in Boston between the Bucks and Celtics on Tuesday.
To this point in the series, home court advantage has been pivotal. The home team has won each of the first four matchups, resulting in a 2-2 series tie as we move into game five. On Sunday, the Bucks won, despite allowing the Celtics to storm back after getting a 20-point lead, on a tip in from Giannis Antetokounmpo with 5 seconds left. They will look to finally break through on the road in game 5 as they travel to the TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Tuesday night. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET.
The spread comes in at the Milwaukee Bucks +3 and the Boston Celtics -3. The over/under for total points scored is set at 204.5.
After dropping the first two games of the series in Boston, the Milwaukee Bucks were able to hold on for victories in the last two games at home. On Sunday, they really did have to hold on until the last second. After storming to a 51-35 lead at halftime, and expanding it to a 65-45 lead in the third, the Bucks slowly allowed the Celtics to claw their way back into it in the fourth quarter.
In fact, the Celtics tied it up with 29 seconds left in the game. After some heroics by Giannis Antetokounmpo with a tip in with 5 seconds left, and a missed buzzer beater by Marc Morris, the Bucks got their victory.
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In the win, Antetokounmpo played extremely well. He scored 27 points and added 7 rebounds and 5 assists. This has been right on par with what Giannis has given the Bucks every night as he is now averaging 27.8 points, 8.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game in this playoffs.
The Bucks also got a nice game out of Khris Middleton (23 points, 6 rebounds). One of the biggest difference makers, though, might have been the production from the bench, most notably from Jabari Parker. After being a non-factor in the first two games in Boston, Parker scored 16 points and added 7 rebounds in 24 minutes of work Sunday. If the Bucks can get that production from Parker off of the bench, it could be a huge factor in the Bucks moving onto the next round.
If Marc Morris could have made the last second shot that would have sent the game into overtime, we might be talking less about a 2-2 tie and more about the amazing comeback that the Celtics had in game 4. Boston continues to get All-Star level production out of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. In game 4, Tatum had 21 point and Jaylen Brown led all scorers with 34 points and added 8 rebounds.
The Celtics also got production from Al Horford (13 points, 9 rebounds), Aron Baynes (9 points, 11 rebounds), Terry Rozier (10 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists) and Marcus Morris (13 points). With home court advantage, the Celtics are hoping that they can put the Bucks on the brink of elimination with a game 5 victory.
I actually like the Bucks to win outright in this one, so getting the 3 points is only added cushion. I think that the Bucks keep the momentum going after winning games 3 and 4. One of the biggest things that has hurt the Celtics over the last two games is that point guard Terry Rozier has seemed to have come back to reality a little bit.
After allowing Celtics fans to forget about the Kyrie Irving injury for the first two games (23 points in each game), he has slowed down considerably, scoring 9 and 10 points in games 3 and 4. I also think that getting Jabari Parker going again will be huge for the Bucks. He played really well for the Bucks to end the regular season and it was nice to see him get it going again after a really tough start to the series.
It will also be interesting to see if John Henson (back) can go for the Bucks and if Marcus Smart (thumb) can go for the Celtics on Tuesday. Both are listed as questionable. While neither will dominate the game, they can both certainly help their units. Regardless, I think the Bucks keep it rolling. Take the Bucks +3.