Last week, we watched Patrick Reed take home the green jacket and win the 2018 Masters. Reed played 4 decent rounds of golf and won the tournament by 1 stroke with a -15 over Rickie Fowler who shot a -14 and Jordan Spieth who shot a -13. The Masters is in the rearview and we are now looking forward to this weeks RBC Heritage from Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina.
Harbour Town Golf Links is just under 7100 yards and plays as a Par 71. Harbour Town GL is a very narrow course that relies more on accuracy than it does distance. Most of the winners over the past few years have been more finesse golfers than they have been power or distance golfers. Last year, Wes Bryan won with a -13 over Luke Donald, who shot -12. The course itself is mid-range for being easy but the scoring on the course has ended in single digits in 2 of the last 5 years.
We will be looking for some golfers this week that are accurate off the tee and have a good scrambling game. The most important thing to keep in mind is the greens here are very small and the fairways are very narrow. With those two things kept in mind, you’re going to want to find golfers that have really good approach shots and those that can recover if their ball ends up out in the tree lined fairways.
Now, with all that kept in mind, let’s dig a little deeper into some specific golfers.
Top Bets at RBC Heritage
Matt Kuchar – Our top play this week will be Matt Kuchar. Kuchar can be found anywhere from 12/1 all the way up to 20/1. Kuchar has been very competitive here at Harbour Town Golf Links finishing 11th, 9th, 5th and 1st in his last 4 times playing in the RBC Heritage. Kuchar is 39 years old but his age hasn’t slowed him down one bit! He is coming in off a 28th place finish at The Masters, 8th place finish at the Houston Open and 9th place finish at the WGC Dell Match Play Championship.
Adam Hadwin – Hadwin has been playing really good and sort of flying under the radar. He finished in 24th place in the Masters and finished in 22nd here at the RBC last year. Most people don’t look at Hadwin as a golfer that can win but I totally disagree. He has played in 9 tournaments in 2018 and made the cut in every single tournament. Additionally, he has finished in the Top 20 in 5 of those 9 tournaments. Hadwin is a decent price and can be found between 25/1 to 33/1 at various online sportsbooks.
Top Longshots at RBC Heritage
Luke Donald – Some of the Vegas oddsmakers must not have looked at Luke Donald’s course history here or they were drunk when they gave out the odds. Donald has played here at Harbour Town Golf Links 9 straight years and has finished in second place (5) five times and third place (2) two times. He has finished in either second or third place in (7) seven out of (9) nine times played but has yet to win. Those are some of the most impressive numbers I’ve seen for a golfer at a particular course in a long time and if he decides to make this year, the year he wins, I will make sure I am playing him….especially knowing you can find him at 60/1.
Charles Howell III – Charles Howell III doesn’t have the best course history but what he does have is a great form. Howell is playing great golf and has been all year long. He has played in 11 tournaments in 2018 and has made the cut in 10 of those 11 tournaments. Looking further into his stats, he has finished in the Top 20 in the last 4 straight and 5 out of the last 6 tournaments overall. Howell has only played here one time, which was last year, but his recent form supersedes his course history. Howell is sitting at around 60/1 and for that price, you’d be a fool not to at least take a swing at it.
Top Fades at RBC Heritage
Dustin Johnson – DJ is probably the best golfer in the world but he fact remains that he has absolutely no value coming in anywhere from 6/1 to 8/1. DJ didn’t set the world on fire at the Masters, finishing in 10th place and the tournament prior, WGC Dell Match Play he finished 59th. This is not the ideal spot for DJ and I truly believe that the only reason he is teeing it up here is because he wants to get the RBC mandated appearance out of the way. I will be completely fading DJ in DFS and will not put any money on him this week.
Marc Leishman – Harbour Town GL have not been kind to Leishman over the years. He has played here 8 times dating back to 2009 and only hit the top 10 on one occasion. As a matter of fact, he has only landed inside the top 30 on one occasion! Leishman has missed the cut in 3 of those 8 tournaments and finished in 40th or higher in 3 other appearances. This course just doesn’t fit him and I will be totally avoiding him this week.