Last week, we witnessed Satoshi Kodaira take home his first victory of his career on the PGA Tour as he defeated Si Woo Kim in the playoffs of the RBC Heritage. Kodaira played really well all 4 days of the tournament and locked up his first ever PGA win. Kodaira was a major longshot and could be found at 250/1, which would of made plenty of people very happy had they played him. If you were lucky enough to be on his side, congrats and enjoy the rewards of your wager!
For our plays last week, our top plays finished up with Matt Kuchar finishing up in 23rd place and our second top play Adam Hadwin pulled out the night prior to the tournament. Our Top Longshots were Luke Donald who missed the cut for the first time ever at Hilton Head and Charles Howell, who just didn’t come to fruition finishing up in 55th place. We also told you to avoid Dustin Johnson and Marc Leishman, who finished in 16th place and a Missed Cut.
This week, we will focus on the Valero Texas Open from San Antonio, Texas. This tournament is played at TPC San Antonio on their Oaks Course. The Oaks Course measures over 7400 yards and plays out as a Par 72. The course itself shows bias to those long drivers and those who are decent Off The Tee.
One thing to make sure you are aware of is the fact that wind usually plays a factor in the final outcome of this tournament. The course is lined with trees around the fairways and if golfers stray off the course, they will find themselves out in the woods.
Enough of the small talk, let’s get to the good stuff and find a winner in the Valero Texas Open!
Top Bet at Valero Texas Open
Charley Hoffman – About 99.999% of the time, it is best to avoid Charley Hoffman because he usually ends up choking on the final day of the tournaments but this week, we could see Hoffman take home the crown. Hoffman has great course history at TPC San Antonio on the Oaks Course and with the exception of last year, he has finished in the Top 13 for the past 7 of 8 years at San Antonio. Be careful when playing Hoffman on where you play him. I’ve seen him as low as 14/1 and as high as 18/1. Play him where you get the most bang for your buck and hope he comes through for you late on Sunday.
Top Longshots at Valero Texas Open
Ryan Palmer – There are a lot of longshots that are worth playing this week but we suggest you taking a look at Ryan Palmer at 50/1. Palmer has a lot of experience playing here at TPC San Antonio on the Oaks Course and for the most part, he has done really well…..especially recently over the last 3 years. In his last three attempts at the Valero Texas Open, he has finished in 4th place once and 6th place twice. Why he is 50/1 is a million dollar question because they guys seems to really like this course.
Top Fades at Valero Texas Open
Sergio Garcia – Sergio Garcia is the biggest favorite on the board coming in anywhere from single digit returns to around 14/1. Garcia is coming in off a missed cut at the Masters and just doesn’t fit well for TPC San Antonio. He really isn’t ranked in the Top 100 in Driving Distance or in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee. This just isn’t a a tournament that you should play Sergio in and should look elsewhere for making your money at the Valero Texas Open.